Back of the Envelope

Observations on the Theory and Empirics of Mathematical Finance

Simulating Correlated Stochastic Differential Equations (or How to Simulate Heston Stochastic Volatility Model)

leave a comment »

I notice that students new to computational finance often make mistakes in simulating correlated Brownian motion paths. Here is a ready reckoner.

Let’s take the example of generating paths for asset prices using the Heston stochastic volatility model:

\begin{aligned} dS &= rSdt + \sqrt{\nu} S dW_1 \\ d \nu &= \kappa (\theta - \nu) dt + \sigma \sqrt{\nu} dW_2 \end{aligned}

where \nu is the instantaneous variance of asset returns, and the increment in Brownian motions dW_1 and dW_2 are correlated with correlation coefficient \rho, i.e. \langle dW_1, dW_2 \rangle = \rho dt.

The simplest way to generate paths S and \nu is to use the Euler discretization (there are better methods available of course, for Heston in particular) as:

\begin{aligned} ln S(t + \Delta t) &= ln S(t) + r \Delta t - \frac{1}{2} \nu (t) \Delta t + \sqrt{\nu (t)} \epsilon_1 \sqrt{\Delta t} \\ \nu (t + \Delta t) &=\nu (t) + \kappa (\theta - \nu (t) ) \Delta t + \sigma \sqrt{\nu (t)} \epsilon_2 \sqrt{\Delta t} \end{aligned}

where \epsilon_1 and \epsilon_2 are standard Gaussian random variables with correlation \rho

To generate correlated standard Gaussian random variables, i.e. \epsilon_1 and \epsilon_2, the most popular method is to use what is called the Cholesky decomposition. Given two uncorrelated standard Gaussian random variables Z_1 and Z_2 (easily done both in Excel and in R), Cholesky decomposition can be used to generate \epsilon_1 and \epsilon_2 as:

\begin{aligned} \epsilon_1 &= Z_1 \\ \epsilon_2 &= \rho Z_1 + \sqrt{1 - \rho^2} Z_2 \end{aligned}

If, God forbid, your job requires simulating three correlated stochastic differential equations, say when you are using a Double Heston or a Double Lognormal model, then you would need to simulate three jointly correlated Gaussian random variables.

In that case if the correlation structure is \langle dW_1, dW_2 \rangle = \rho_{12} dt\langle dW_2, dW_3 \rangle = \rho_{23} dt and \langle dW_1, dW_3 \rangle = \rho_{13} dt, then given three uncorrelated Gaussian random variables Z_1, Z_2 and Z_3, one could use Cholesky decomposition to generate generate \epsilon_1, \epsilon_2 and \epsilon_3 as:

\begin{aligned} \epsilon_1 &= Z_1 \\ \epsilon_2 &= \rho_{12} Z_1 + \sqrt{1 - \rho^2_{12}} Z_2 \\ \epsilon_3 &=\rho_{13} Z_1 + \rho^*_{23} Z_2 + \rho^*_{33} Z_3\end{aligned}

where

\displaystyle \rho^*_{23} = \frac{\rho_{23} - \rho_{12} \rho_{13}}{\sqrt{1 - \rho^2_{12}}} and \displaystyle \rho^*_{33} = \sqrt{\frac{1 - \rho^2_{12} - \rho^2_{23} - \rho^2_{13} + 2 \rho_{12} \rho_{23} \rho_{13}}{1 - \rho^2_{12}}}.

Advertisements

Written by Vineet

January 9, 2013 at 7:35 pm

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: